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Week 11 Predictions for the 2025-2026 NFL Season
Week 10 Results
7-7
Overall Results
88-61
This week I find myself stuck in a prediction slump. Another handful of wrongly picking the winners as my season record takes another hit. The NFL has been wildly unpredictable this season and very few teams are standing far above the rest. Week 10 has plenty of upsets and teams that flat out blew opportunities to win.
Before I take another shot at trying to figure out who will prevail in week 11, a look back at last week’s action.
Week 10 Knee Jerks
Denver 10 Las Vegas 7 (Harv’s score: Broncos 35 Raiders 13). The dominoes keep falling for Pete Carroll on his return to the NFL. While Denver’s defense appears to be one of the best, their offense is going backwards.
Indianapolis 31 Atlanta 25 (Harv’s score: Colts 27 Falcons 16). Indianapolis bounces back after a six-turnover game in Pittsburgh while the Falcons just can’t seem to find a consistency.
New Orleans 17 Carolina 7 (Harv’s score: Panthers 31 Saints 17). The Panthers pull an upset of the Packers then this? The Saints are one of the worst teams in the league. It’s hard to wrap your head around such results.
Chicago 24 New York Giants 20 (Harv’s score: Bears 28 Giants 13). The once promising season the Giants thought they were heading for was short lived. After this one their head coach was canned. The Bears are a much-improved team and might even make the playoffs.
Houston 36 Jacksonville 29 (Harv’s score: Jaguars 23 Texans 17). The Jaguars pulled off the most embarrassing loss of the season and in most opinions in their franchise history by blowing a 19-point lead in the fourth quarter. This is about as bad as the Patriots/Falcons Super Bowl that saw Atlanta blow a big halftime lead to losing the title. This is the kind of loss that can break a team.
Miami 30 Buffalo 13 (Harv’s score: Bills 41 Dolphins 10). WOW. Just wow. No one could have predicted this one. Buffalo players and their head coach need to take a long look in the mirror to find out who they are. How they lost will be questioned by all Bills fans.
Baltimore 27 Minnesota 19 (Harv’s score: Vikings 20 Ravens 17). If you are a Pittsburgh Steelers fan like me then you must be nervous after this result. The Ravens are probably the scariest team in the league right now and their remaining schedule is cake. After impressively winning this game, Baltimore is on track to blow past the Steelers and win the AFC North. The Vikings are still a serious competitor.
New York Jets 27 Cleveland 20 (Harv’s score: Jets 25 Browns 20). Another team that blew an opportunity to win. The Jets had two special teams’ touchdowns of a kick and punt return. That doesn’t happen often. Justin Fields had another bad game, but he played to the end.
New England 28 Tampa Bay 23 (Harv’s score: Buccaneers 30 Patriots 28). The Patriots continue to roll and impress. That would be something if they reach the Super Bowl…without Tom Brady. The Bucs cut it close but New England’s Mike Vrabel should be Coach of the Year.
Seattle 44 Arizona 22 (Harv’s score: Seahawks 23 Cardinals 18). Three 40 plus point games by separate teams on the same day and two were from NFC West. In this one, the Seahawks and Sam Darnold smoked the Cardinals winning by 22. Kyler Murray missed another game, and it could be the beginning of the end for him in Arizona.
Los Angeles Rams 42 San Francisco 26 (Harv’s score: Rams 27 49ers 21). The second of three blowouts with an over 40 score as the Rams offense is beginning to remind some of the old Rams “greatest show on turf” offense.
Detroit 44 Washington 22 (Harv’s score: Detroit 37 Washington 13). Yet another mismatch during week 10 and the Lions wipe out the Commanders who did not have Jayden Daniels in the lineup.
Pittsburgh 10 Los Angeles Chargers 25 (Harv’s score: Steelers 30 Chargers 27). I really thought after the performance against the Colts, the Steelers would win this one too. No one knew Aaron Rodgers was going to have one of his worst performances ever. Justin Herbert is a special quarterback however and he made Rodgers look like an amateur.
Philadelphia 10 Green Bay 7 (Harv’s score: Packers 17 Eagles 14). We now know who really the team is to beat in the NFC, and it is the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles. It seems the trade for Micah Parsons has not lifted the Packers far.
Week 11 Picks
New York Jets at New England Patriots
NYJ 17
NE 35
The Patriots are rolling and inching close to unseating the Buffalo Bills as division champions. An easy win for them here.
Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins
WAS 14
MIA 27
Miami pulls off a major upset of Buffalo and now they get a damaged Commanders team.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
CAR 24
ATL 31
You never know what you get when you have an Atlanta Falcons game. The Panthers are in that same boat. Toss up here.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills
TB 24
BUF 30
Will the Bills wake up from their slumber? The Bucs stand to lose a second in a row to another AFC East team.
Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
LAC 37
JAX 13
Can the Jags rebound from a massive and embarrassing loss? The Chargers are banged up on offense but manage to keep on trucking.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
CHI 21
MIN 23
J.J. McCarthy gave the Vikings the lift they needed a week ago and now comes the gritty Bears. Close one here.
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
GB 28
NYG 12
The Giants are a mess and trying to figure out their future before this season is even close to over. The Packers better find an identity quick with the end of the season in sight.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
CIN 20
PIT 24
For me, this is a MUST win for the Steelers. I say that because for every game remaining on their schedule that is a winnable game and they should win, this is the first of those. Games against Detroit, Buffalo, and Baltimore twice loom ahead and right now it is the Steelers’ division to lose in the AFC North. As poorly as they played on offense last week, I must believe that it can’t continue here.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
HOU 31
TEN 15
The Texans pulled off the biggest comeback of the season and perhaps the most shocking one in several years. They should have no problem with the talentless Titans.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
SF 19
ARI 20
The Cardinals play teams tough, but the 49ers always find ways to win. Still, my gut is saying Cards.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
SEA 27
LAR 28
WOW. Game of the day in the NFC. This is certainly a “pick-em.” So how do I pick-em?
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
BAL 41
CLE 6
The Ravens will do all they can to avoid a “trap” game while the Browns would like nothing more to bring Baltimore back to earth. Ain’t happening.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
KC 13
DEN 17
The AFC game of the week. If the Chiefs are going to return to the playoffs, they need to win this one on the road. I see a low scoring home team victory.
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles
DET 25
PHI 21
I take that back from above, this could be the NFC game of the week. Another toss up and something tells me the Eagles are due for stepping back a bit.
Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders
DAL 30
LV 24
Two teams in total disarray. I don’t even know what to say about this one.
Not playing this week with their bye are the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints.